"The effect of violent crime on teenage pregnancy in Mexico" by Magda Tsaneva and Pinar Mine Gunes
 

Economics

The effect of violent crime on teenage pregnancy in Mexico

Document Type

Article

Abstract

This paper explores the effect of violent crime on teenage pregnancy in Mexico using data from a nationally representative longitudinal survey conducted before and after an unexpected surge in violence. In order to identify the effects, we use a triple difference-in-differences strategy exploiting variation in (i) exposure to the surge in violence between sample periods, (ii) the intensity of violence as measured by municipal homicide rates, and (iii) age of different cohorts. We find that the average increase in homicide rates over the study period reduced the probability of teenage pregnancy by approximately 1.5%. We also demonstrate that the effect is more acute among women with worse economic conditions prior to the surge in violence. Analysis of mechanisms shows that reductions in teenage pregnancy is partly explained by changes in the sexual behavior of young women.

Publication Title

Review of Economics of the Household

Publication Date

3-2020

Volume

18

Issue

1

First Page

141

Last Page

164

ISSN

1569-5239

DOI

10.1007/s11150-018-9430-4

Keywords

difference-in-differences, Mexico, teenage pregnancy, violent crime

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