Student Publications [Scholarly]

Geo-Spatial Exploration of Climate Change Vulnerability: Impacts on Agriculture and Livelihoods in Kapasia Upazila of Gazipur District, Bangladesh

Document Type

Book Chapter

Abstract

A major worldwide concern, climate change disproportionately impacts vulnerable areas like Bangladesh. Climate variability has progressively harmed local livelihoods and agricultural systems in Kapasia Upazila of Gazipur, Bangladesh. Assessing climate change vulnerability from 2010 to 2024 and analyzing its effects on agriculture (2014 to 2024) and livelihoods in the study region were the goals of the current study. A mixed-method approach has been used to incorporate both socioeconomic and spatial data. Primary data was collected through 248 household questionnaires, 10 focus group discussions, and 5 experts’ interviews. To monitor environmental changes, spatial data, including temperature, precipitation, land use, and land cover (LULC), and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) maps, were created and analyzed using ArcGIS 10.8. The results showed that a slow increase in temperature and erratic precipitation patterns made the region more vulnerable to droughts, floods, and seasonal instability. While LULC results showed significant loss of cropland and green cover along with urban expansion, NDVI analysis revealed deteriorating vegetation health. Reduced crop yields, changed cropping patterns, increased soil degradation, and an increase in pest incidence were all consequences of these environmental changes. According to household surveys, there were notable impacts on rainfall predictability (69%), soil quality (59%), and food security (85%). Reduced water availability, biodiversity loss, and deteriorating ecosystem services all had an impact on livelihoods. The study came to the conclusion that livelihoods and agriculture had suffered as a result of climate change vulnerability. The findings offered community-based and spatially explicit evidence to guide resource allocation for resilience building in comparable high-risk areas, targeted climate adaptation policies, and sustainable land management techniques. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2026.

Publication Title

Climate Change Management

Publication Date

2026

First Page

43

Last Page

64

ISSN

1610-2002

ISBN

9783032167835

DOI

10.1007/978-3-032-16783-5_3

Keywords

biodiversity loss, climate change vulnerability, cropping pattern change, land use and land cover, NDVI, soil moisture, sustainable land use, vegetation health

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