Geography
Document Type
Article
Abstract
Forests have re-taken centre stage in global conversations about sustainability, climate and biodiversity. Here, we use a horizon scanning approach to identify five large-scale trends that are likely to have substantial medium- and long-term effects on forests and forest livelihoods: forest megadisturbances; changing rural demographics; the rise of the middle-class in low- and middle-income countries; increased availability, access and use of digital technologies; and large-scale infrastructure development. These trends represent human and environmental processes that are exceptionally large in geographical extent and magnitude, and difficult to reverse. They are creating new agricultural and urban frontiers, changing existing rural landscapes and practices, opening spaces for novel conservation priorities and facilitating an unprecedented development of monitoring and evaluation platforms that can be used by local communities, civil society organizations, governments and international donors. Understanding these larger-scale dynamics is key to support not only the critical role of forests in meeting livelihood aspirations locally, but also a range of other sustainability challenges more globally. We argue that a better understanding of these trends and the identification of levers for change requires that the research community not only continue to build on case studies that have dominated research efforts so far, but place a greater emphasis on causality and causal mechanisms, and generate a deeper understanding of how local, national and international geographical scales interact.
Publication Title
Nature Plants
Publication Date
2020
Volume
6
Issue
12
First Page
1400
Last Page
1407
ISSN
2055-0278
DOI
10.1038/s41477-020-00814-9
Repository Citation
Oldekop, Johan A.; Rasmussen, Laura Vang; Agrawal, Arun; Bebbington, Anthony J.; Meyfroidt, Patrick; Bengston, David N.; Blackman, Allen; Brooks, Stephen; Davidson-Hunt, Iain; Davies, Penny; Dinsi, Stanley C.; Fontana, Lorenza B.; Gumucio, Tatiana; Kumar, Chetan; Kumar, Kundan; Moran, Dominic; Mwampamba, Tuyeni H.; Nasi, Robert; Nilsson, Margareta; Pinedo-Vasquez, Miguel A.; Rhemtulla, Jeanine M.; Sutherland, William J.; Watkins, Cristy; and Wilson, Sarah J., "Forest-linked livelihoods in a globalized world" (2020). Geography. 429.
https://commons.clarku.edu/faculty_geography/429
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License
Copyright Conditions
This is the Submitted Manuscript version of this article. DOI must be cited: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41477-020-00814-9
